A few weeks ago, almost immediately after the quarterly Tesla conference call, emails went out to Tesla Model 3 reservation holders telling us that delivery timelines had changed. In particular, estimated delivery times for the shorter range $35,000 Model 3 were being pushed back — for everyone. Well, Tesla didn’t explicitly say they were being pushed back for everyone, but that’s what we gathered based on simple and straightforward logic.
I was about to close out the month and get off the computer (at 2:20 am, admittedly), but then something obvious hit me — why not crowdsource the coming Tesla Model 3 delivery estimate for the month of February?
I generally base Tesla delivery estimates for my monthly US electric car sales reports on many factors, but I’ve somehow not previously thought to tap the vast CleanTechnica reader knowledge & speculation base for support.
Ben Sullins of Teslanomics has crunched the numbers and concluded that Tesla will produce 192,576 Model 3 sedans in 2018. How did he come up with that number? Watch the video to find out.
How many weeks does it take to go from Tesla Model 3 configuration to delivery? Ah, yeah, I just told you in the title — 2 weeks, or precisely 14 days. This is based on a very scientifically sound survey and regression analysis of 1 customer. /s
Tesla Q4 2017 numbers are out and they show the company had strong sales of its Model S and Model X cars. Model 3 production was disappointing but the company says it will be building 5,000 cars a week by the end of June.
Those sounds you heard a few days ago were a collective sigh of relief from many automakers and electric vehicle advocates when the US Congress passed new tax legislation that also kept the federal electric vehicle tax credit intact — a tax credit of up to $7,500 for any US taxpayers who buy a new electric vehicle*.
In day’s world, one man’s experience is now another’s, and another’s. Here’s another glance into the EV that is a sign of the times. Remember those long lines to reserve a Model 3? Those weren’t employees in line — they got to reserve earlier in quiet. Those would become the first Model 3 owners who weren’t Tesla/SpaceX employees, huge investors, or close company friends. Now, those customers are starting to reserve their Tesla Model 3 orders.
Here it is — the Model 3.
There’s a public Google Sheet people have been using for tracking Tesla Model 3 invites, configurations, and deliveries. It was apparently set up by someone on the Tesla Motors Club forum. I’ve written a couple of stories that referenced it since the crowdsourced data essentially shows the phases of configuration invites that Tesla has sent out. I just opened it a couple of hours ago by accident and happened to notice that a few people on the sheet had put their info into the “Delivered” tab.
There have now been multiple claims that Tesla staff members are telling Tesla customers that Tesla is sending out Model 3 configuration invites to batches of 5,000 at a time. If that’s true, it seems that 5,000 email invitations were sent in the past few days, 5,000 were sent approximately a week before that, and 5,000 were sent around November 21–22, going by crowdsourced information in this Google Sheet.
The first Tesla Model X that I got to drive was an early Model X from a regular CleanTechnica reader who drove it from Northern California to Southern California when I was there for the first Tesla Model 3 reveal. He put in an early reservation for a Model 3 too, and he just got his invite to configure a few hours ago.
More interesting is what a Tesla employee told him on the phone after he got the invite. The Tesla staff member told him that invites were going out in batches of 5,000.
