China

China Is Making Boeing Optional

Boeing expects Chinese airlines to require 8,830 new commercial aircraft by 2043. That sounds like an enormous opportunity until the denominator is corrected. China is not starting with aircraft demand and asking which manufacturer should supply it. It is deciding how people should move, assigning dense corridors to electric rail, … [continued]

China’s Electric Trucks Are Breaking The Diesel Assumptions In Oil Forecasts

Oil forecasts that still depend on sustained Chinese road-fuel growth now have a heavy-truck problem. Passenger electric vehicles have already weakened the gasoline story, but freight diesel is the more important system denominator. Commercial trucks operate for longer hours, carry heavier loads and burn far more fuel per vehicle than … [continued]

China Just Made Electric Trucks A Freight System, Not A Vehicle Category

China’s new electric heavy-truck target is not interesting because another government wrote down a 2030 number. It is interesting because the target is tied to the system around the truck. The Ministry of Transport plan points to 40% of new heavy-truck sales being electric by 2030, 20% of the total … [continued]