The updated aviation fuel-service projection starts from post-COVID recovery, then bends liquid-fuel growth through regional-electric displacement, constrained SAF and demand pressure.
Aviation is one of the harder transition sectors to model well because it invites two bad shortcuts. One is to assume that flying keeps growing as it did in the cheap-kerosene era, with a cleaner molecule somehow dropped into the same demand curve. The other is to assume that decarbonization … [continued]
ChatGPT generated image: A grounded eVTOL prototype sits neglected in a hangar, coated in dust and pigeon droppings, a stark symbol of stalled aviation dreams
Supernal’s decision to pause work on its eVTOL aircraft is a signal that the sector is entering a different phase. Hyundai created Supernal with strong funding, a long timeline, and a clear plan to bring a five-seat air taxi to market around 2028. If a global automaker with significant resources … [continued]
Aviation professionals are calling for hard emissions targets for the commercial airline industry as the number of travelers increases.
ChatGPT created this landscape image of an airplane ticket featuring a green “SAF Surcharge” line item—illustrating how airlines are embedding sustainable fuel costs into fares
A traveler books a long-haul flight from Frankfurt to Singapore and notices a line item labeled “Environmental Surcharge.” It’s not optional, and it’s not tiny. For most economy passengers, it adds somewhere between €6 and €20. In business class, it can go much higher. At first glance, this might seem … [continued]
ChatGPT generated panoramic image of a COMAC C919 at a modern Chinese airport terminal, while several grounded Boeing 737 MAX jets sit behind a fence, unused
A COMAC C919 rolls to the end of the runway at Shanghai Pudong, a clean-lined aircraft shimmering in the haze as ground crews finish their checks. In the background, a row of pristine Boeing 737 MAX aircraft sit unused, tails high, their future uncertain. The scene is an imagined one, … [continued]
Donald Trump, in his glorious return to the Oval Office in January 2025, managed to do what no climate policy has achieved in decades: reduce transborder aviation emissions. Not by design, of course. He wouldn’t be caught dead attending a COP summit unless it was hosted at Mar-a-Lago and came … [continued]
A new showcase for green hydrogen fuel cell flight is taking shape, towards the goal of a nine-day, nonstop, zero emission flight around the world in 2028.
ChatGPT generated panoramic image of a narrow-bodied 200 pax passenger jet labeled H2 sitting in a field covered in dust, rust and pigeon droppings
Hydrogen’s hoped for role in aviation dates back to the mid-20th century, when researchers began exploring its potential as an alternative to conventional jet fuel. In 1957, engineers at Lockheed and Boeing investigated hydrogen propulsion as part of Cold War efforts to develop high-altitude, long-endurance aircraft. In 1959, a modified … [continued]
ChatGPT generated panoramic image of the Grim Reaper looming over an electric VTOL rotorcraft like the Joby and a bus labeled "H2"
For several years there have been a couple of parallel slow motion failures in the making, the use of hydrogen in transportation and the Jetsons’ fantasy of air taxis zipping over cities. Neither were based in economic, regulatory, or technical reality, preferring instead to have vast sums of governmental and … [continued]
ChatGPT generated panoramic image of a Joby-style evtol landing and blowing people and garbage cans away with its very strong rotorwash
Over the past few years tens of billions of dollars, enormous numbers of hours of aerospace engineers’ precious time, and countless articles have been wasted on the Jetsons fantasy of quiet, electric, folding aircraft taking off and descending vertically amidst the towers and homes of our cities. Now the US … [continued]
