Originally published on RMI.
By James Sherwood, Mathias Bell, Virginia Lacy
The next time you’re on an airplane, take a look out the window at the city as your plane descends to its destination. How many solar PV arrays do you see atop (and around) that endless sea of rooftops? Probably not very many. Although distributed solar PV has been growing rapidly—50 percent annually over the past decade—it’s still a small fraction of the overall U.S. generation mix. This means there is still a lot of room for additional growth.
But, importantly, there’s also a critical opportunity to make that new distributed solar an even more valuable resource to all electricity system stakeholders, including individual customers, utility and solar investors, the electric grid, and society. Many of the largest opportunities to increase the value of distributed solar PV will require targeting opportunities that neither solar companies nor utilities can address alone. They will have to work together.
Increasing solar value
When we talk about the “value” of solar, or any electricity system resource, we’re referring to a simple formula: the difference between the benefits and costs that a project creates for an individual customer, the grid and society, or both. There are two clear avenues for maximizing the potential value of distributed solar PV: reducing the costs for manufacturing, developing, and installing projects, and increasing the benefits that each project’s power creates for customers and the greater electricity system.
The solar industry has made tremendous strides over the past decade toward reducing project costs—decreasing costs by more than 60 percent since 1998. But several large cost reduction opportunities remain, particularly for solar’s “soft costs”—all the non-hardware-related costs of installing a solar PV system. Specific cost reductions that are ripe to target include:
- Site identification
- Customer acquisition
- Permitting, inspection, and interconnection processes
The other side of the equation, increasing the benefits each distributed solar PV project creates, has received less attention to date, leaving substantial value uncaptured. Increasing these benefits will require a greater focus on three interrelated dynamics: the location where the project connects to the grid (e.g., a city’s urban core vs. its rural outskirts), the time when the project produces power (e.g., peak output at midday vs. the afternoon), and the specific services the project provides (e.g., energy, reactive power, voltage support, etc.). However, several efforts around the country, such as those in New York, California, and Hawaii, are now under way to make distributed solar PV as beneficial as possible by investigating and implementing new design strategies. These include:
- Optimizing distributed solar PV’s generation with both the grid’s needs and the customer’s demand, for instance by facing panels to the west in certain situations or targeting parts of the grid where projects can alleviate congestion
- Providing additional services to the grid beyond energy, such as local voltage support or helping to smooth variations in distributed solar PV output and customer load, that could improve the reliability and quality of electric service
- Pairing distributed solar PV with complementary technologies, such as demand response, energy efficiency, and batteries
Taking steps to maximize the value of distributed solar PV can create a positive feedback loop: by making smarter, more-strategic decisions about where and how we deploy some of that distributed solar, we can reduce the need to invest in traditional grid infrastructure and reduce overall investment costs (which could free up more capital to invest in efficiency and renewables).
The need to work together
While reducing costs and increasing benefits sounds intuitive, many of the greatest opportunities cannot be tackled by a single stakeholder. For example, customer acquisition is one of the largest cost drivers for rooftop solar installations, often accounting for more than 30 percent of total installed costs. Today, solar companies spend significant resources identifying potential customers. Utilities have direct access to these customers and their energy consumption data. However, they have little incentive today to help solar companies drive down costs and expand solar’s market.
So why collaborate? All indications point to continued customer demand for distributed solar PV projects. As customers have projects installed on their roofs, without increased collaboration between utilities and solar companies there will likely be significant value left on the table, meaning that capital is being invested inefficiently. Further, a lack of collaboration leads to other suboptimal outcomes, such as more challenging grid operations and less customer engagement. While there is a clear need for collaboration, the existing business and regulatory models currently do not encourage it. But improved mechanisms can foster greater alignment and seek to provide “wins” for customers, solar companies, and utilities. These “win-win-win” solutions can accelerate, optimize, and sustain distributed solar PV adoption.
Seeking win-win-win solutions
RMI’s report Bridges to New Solar Business Models: Opportunities to Increase and Capture the Value of Distributed Solar Photovoltaics outlines three building blocks for solar business models that could create win-win-win outcomes:
Utilities, solar companies, and regulators can use components of these building blocks to design and implement new solar business models today. Over the coming weeks, the following blogs in this series will explain the details of these building blocks and the steps needed to implement them.
While the distributed solar PV market has been growing rapidly, ensuring sustained growth will require focusing on value creation. This may be difficult to capture if solar companies or utilities choose to act independently. But by focusing on collaborative solutions, utilities and solar companies can unlock additional value, increasing the net value of distributed solar PV to accelerate—and optimize—continued adoption.
Download RMI’s report Bridges to New Solar Business Models: Opportunities to Increase and Capture the Value of Distributed Solar Photovoltaics
Reprinted with permission.
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