Germany — $1 Trillion Projected Fossil Fuel Import Savings From Energiewende
Support CleanTechnica's work through a Substack subscription, on Patreon, or on Stripe. Help us produce all of the high-quality, original content we publish week after week despite the challenges of content-scraping AI, antisocial media, inflation, and other hurdles.
Reposted from Lenz Blog (image added):
German Member of Parliament Josef Göppel has published an excellent speech he delivered recently at the Bundestag.
There are many remarkable ideas there, but I want to highlight only one thing mentioned at the end of the document.
Göppel notes that Germany is saving EUR 8 billion a year in fossil fuel import costs right now (about 10 percent of the whole bill) and expects that the cumulative savings up to 2040 will reach more than EUR one trillion.
If one simply adds up the remaining 27 years at 8 billion a year, one would only get a measly 216 billion in savings. Where are the missing 800 billion to go over one trillion?
One factor is that the share of renewable energy for electricity generation will go to 65% in 2040, from less than 25% in 2012. That of course means displacing more fossil fuel and saving more.
And other sectors like heating and transport will catch on as well. Just as trains are running on electricity now (not coal), cars in 2040 will run on electricity or hydrogen generated in time slots where demand can’t keep up with renewable energy supply.
Another factor is that fossil fuel prices have gone up massively in the last decade. They might go up some more with China and India catching up in their economic development.
We won’t know the exact figure until 2040. But Göppel’s estimate is a lot more realistic than Altmaier’s estimate of the cost (which does not account in any way for these savings).
Sign up for CleanTechnica's Weekly Substack for Zach and Scott's in-depth analyses and high level summaries, sign up for our daily newsletter, and follow us on Google News!
Have a tip for CleanTechnica? Want to advertise? Want to suggest a guest for our CleanTech Talk podcast? Contact us here.
Sign up for our daily newsletter for 15 new cleantech stories a day. Or sign up for our weekly one on top stories of the week if daily is too frequent.
CleanTechnica uses affiliate links. See our policy here.
CleanTechnica's Comment Policy
