Transportation

The 2100 Projections Came First. Then Clients Asked For 2050 Roadmaps.

Most decarbonization scenarios stop at 2050 because policy targets do. Steel mills, aircraft fleets, ports, electricity grids and industrial supply chains do not. A pathway can reach net zero in a target-year spreadsheet while leaving behind an energy system that is expensive, physically implausible or dependent on technologies that never … [continued]

Bosch’s Real Hydrogen Mistake Was Strategic, Not Financial

Bosch’s hydrogen story is easy to misread. Stefan Hartung is leaving the top job earlier than expected, Christian Fischer takes over on July 1, and the company is coming off a difficult 2025. The tempting version is simple: Bosch bet wrong on hydrogen, and the bill came due. That is … [continued]

Hydrogen Demand Shrinks When It Is Counted Properly

Hydrogen demand is usually discussed as if the world is about to discover a giant new fuel market. That is the wrong starting point. Hydrogen is already a very large industrial molecule, but most of that demand is tied to the fossil-fuel system, fertilizer, methanol and process chemistry. It’s a … [continued]

Batteries Don’t Need To Electrify Every Ship To Reshape Shipping Fuels

A useful paper has landed in the Nature family on the techno-economics of electrifying short-sea shipping, and the result should make the maritime fuel debate a little less vague. The paper does not claim that every ship becomes battery-electric. It does not need to. It finds that by 2030 a … [continued]

Air Lubrication For Ships Is Real. The Air Still Isn’t Free.

The interesting part of Everllence and Silverstream’s Engine Supported Air Lubrication concept is not that ships can reduce drag by pushing air under the hull. That has been known for decades, and commercial systems are already in service. The interesting part is where the air comes from, because air lubrication’s … [continued]

Hydrogen Buses Work. That Is Not The Procurement Question.

Hydrogen buses are real. They can carry passengers, complete routes, refuel, and operate in public transit fleets. That much has been demonstrated often enough that it is no longer the useful question. The useful question for transit agencies is whether hydrogen is a better procurement choice than battery-electric buses once … [continued]

Belgium’s Hydrogen Stations Have A Kilograms-Per-Day Problem

Belgium has another hydrogen refuelling announcement, and on the surface it sounds like progress. Atawey is selling three new hydrogen stations to Colruyt Group and Virya Energy for heavy-duty mobility, with a stated combined distribution capacity of more than 7 tonnes per day and deployment planned by the end of … [continued]

A Pilot Is Not Proof Of A Market

Energy transition analysis is littered with evidence that is real and stories that are not. A pilot exists, therefore the market is forming. A government grant lands, therefore the technology has been validated. An offtake agreement appears, therefore customers must be willing to pay. A large company issues a press … [continued]