risk analysis

ChatGPT generated panoramic image of a gray rhino and a black swan in a standoff with a looming wall of water about to crash down on them

Wucker’s Gray Rhino Is Essential Reading & Her Thoughts On Climate & COVID Compelling

A year and a half ago I had the opportunity to sit down with Michele Wucker, author of The Gray Rhino and You Are What You Risk, to have a wide ranging conversation about risks we tend to ignore, Asian vs Western perceptions of risk, black swans, climate change, COVID, … [continued]

Is Nuclear Power As Safe As The BBC Claims?

The nuclear industry has based much of its analysis on what I believe is demonstrably flawed thinking. I would classify numbers from the nuclear industry in three types. Some are predictably spot-on. Some are predictably off, with the true value turning out to be greater by a factor of two or more. And some are predictably, and sometimes demonstrably, off by at least an order of magnitude. Which number falls into which category seems to depend entirely on what it is to be used for.