economics

New Nuclear Gets Built When Governments Run Development & Taxpayers Take The Risk

Nuclear power works. It produces low-carbon electricity, avoids the health burden of fossil-fuel combustion, provides firm generation and can operate for many decades. My skepticism about building large new nuclear fleets has never depended on pretending otherwise. The more interesting question is why countries that have built nuclear successfully have … [continued]

Climate Solutions Need To Pass Three Tests Before They Deserve Policy Or Capital

A lot of transition analysis gives too much credit to technologies that can be made to work and not enough scrutiny to whether they matter. The difference shows up across carbon capture hubs, synthetic fuel claims, small modular reactor schedules, cement decarbonization pathways, aviation fuel projections, ammonia shipping forecasts, grid … [continued]

Brussels Conversations: Port Decarbonization, Economics Of Climate Refugees, Logistics Strategy & More

When people found out I was going to be in Brussels, invitations for lunch and dinner came out of the woodwork, and people started booking train rides, including two from London. Lengthy conversations on different decarbonization challenges ensued, around the main event itself, the book launch of the second edition … [continued]

What Will The End Of Fossil Fuels Be Like?

I recently came across a somewhat old spreadsheet from the U.S. Department of Energy, “Public Retail Gasoline Stations by State and Year,” which covered data from 1996 to 2012 (xlsx file found HERE). It was clear that the numbers in it were not precisely accurate, but there was something very … [continued]

The End Of Oil & Gas: A Different View

I have come to believe that the end of oil & gas could look very different than what people expect. In ways it could appear even to defy the accepted law of supply and demand. If I am right, loss of demand in the face of continued availability of the resources could drive retail prices up instead of down. And once this process has begun, the consequences could quickly become disruptive.