ChatGPT generated panoramic aerial of an abandoned hydrogen fueling station in Paris, its cracked pavement, overgrown weeds, and tilted sign marking the end of a failed vision

From Hydrogen Hope To EV Reality: How Hype’s Subsidy Bubble Burst



Hype, once celebrated as a poster child for hydrogen mobility in Europe, has abandoned hydrogen as its primary fuel source, and has pivoted to solely electric vehicles for taxis. This pivot should not surprise anyone who has been closely tracking the consistent and inevitable collapse of hydrogen-powered transportation ventures around the globe. The story behind Hype’s decision to abandon hydrogen illustrates clearly what happens when financial reality confronts overly optimistic, subsidy-dependent business models.

Hype began its journey as a hydrogen taxi service with great fanfare in Paris in 2015, positioning itself as a beacon of sustainable urban transportation. Initially launched with just a handful of vehicles, the startup rapidly grew its fleet by capitalizing on a wave of generous subsidies and grants designed to accelerate hydrogen mobility across Europe. The foundational premise of Hype’s business model was not profitability but rather leveraging substantial external public funding, initially from French government agencies and subsequently bolstered by European Union programs, allowing the firm to rapidly expand its operations without bearing the true cost of its chosen technology.

In its earliest days, Hype received critical support from the French Environment and Energy Management Agency (ADEME). Through ADEME, Hype benefited from several rounds of substantial grants aimed explicitly at fostering hydrogen mobility, including infrastructure funding for hydrogen refueling stations around Paris. This infrastructure, critical and costly, was fully subsidized, allowing Hype to establish a network that would have otherwise been financially impossible to justify. Further grants came from regional authorities, notably the Île-de-France region, which saw hydrogen taxis as emblematic of its commitment to environmental leadership and clean urban transport.

The European Union played an even more significant role in fueling Hype’s rapid expansion. Beginning in 2017, the company secured large-scale funding from EU initiatives like the Fuel Cells and Hydrogen Joint Undertaking (FCH JU), a public-private partnership explicitly created to support hydrogen fuel cell innovation. FCH JU poured millions of euros into Hype through multiple project-specific grants, covering both vehicle acquisition costs and the significant infrastructure build-out required to sustain a hydrogen taxi service. These projects were framed as demonstrations, aiming to showcase hydrogen’s potential as a viable alternative to battery-electric vehicles and internal combustion engines, even though the economic realities consistently failed to align.

A crucial element that sustained the illusion of Hype’s economic viability was its close partnership with Toyota, the manufacturer of the Mirai hydrogen fuel cell car. Toyota’s European marketing strategy included aggressive promotional arrangements, providing free hydrogen fuel with every leased Mirai vehicle for extended periods, typically three to four years per vehicle. For Hype, this arrangement meant that operational fuel costs, normally a significant expense for fleet operations, effectively vanished. This artificial cost structure allowed Hype to scale its operations dramatically, creating a perception among the public, media, and policymakers that hydrogen taxis could genuinely compete economically.

With this substantial external backing, Hype grew quickly. By 2020, the company claimed the title of Europe’s largest hydrogen taxi fleet, operating hundreds of vehicles in Paris and receiving widespread praise from government officials, industry lobbyists, and hydrogen advocates. The French government featured Hype prominently in its national hydrogen strategy announcements, often touting the company’s apparent success as proof of hydrogen’s readiness for mainstream adoption. Yet behind this optimistic façade, the fundamental economics of hydrogen taxis remained unchanged: prohibitively expensive and wholly reliant on unsustainable public funding streams.

The turning point came when the promotional agreements supplying free hydrogen through Toyota expired and EU subsidies began tapering off. By late 2024 and into early 2025, the stark economic realities of operating hydrogen taxis without subsidies became evident. Fuel prices surged sharply as Hype paid market prices for hydrogen for the first time. Concurrently, further European and French governmental financial support dried up, with agencies shifting their funding priorities toward more scalable and economically sustainable electric vehicle infrastructure.

As Hype’s artificially favorable economic conditions disappeared, the company swiftly confronted massive operational deficits. Unable to sustain losses indefinitely, in June 2025, Hype suspended its hydrogen operations in Paris entirely, pivoting abruptly toward battery-electric vehicles as the only economically feasible alternative.

This rapid collapse underscores the inherent vulnerability of hydrogen taxi initiatives, which consistently rely on indefinite external support. Despite generous and sustained funding from ADEME, the Île-de-France region, Toyota, and particularly the EU’s Fuel Cells and Hydrogen Joint Undertaking, the company’s economic model was fundamentally flawed from inception. Without the crutch of continual subsidy, Hype’s hydrogen ambitions proved economically unsustainable, demonstrating once more the unavoidably prohibitive costs of hydrogen transportation.

Naturally, Hype blames everyone but itself for the inevitable failure of its hydrogen taxi scheme. Specifically, it is blaming hydrogen providers for trying desperately to make money selling the stuff, claiming:

“Air Liquide and TotalÉnergies have in fact succeeded in establishing a form of oligopoly in the Ile-de-France region, via various legal entities such as the “startup” HysetCo, the Hy24 fund and the TEAL joint venture”

This pattern of dependency and collapse is neither isolated nor new. Around the world, hydrogen taxi services have consistently faced economic dead ends. In Berlin, the H2 Moves project is positioned as Germany’s largest hydrogen vehicle initiative, yet its deployment remains economically questionable, being based as heavily on continual subsidies as Hype was. In London, Green Tomato Cars integrated a small number of hydrogen vehicles into its fleet, but the economics never aligned, resulting in minimal impact and stagnation. Saudi Arabia’s experiment with Mirais in Riyadh also remains confined to a limited pilot, with no realistic pathway to widespread commercialization. Similarly, Toyota’s attempt to introduce hydrogen taxis in Bradford, UK, remains at the planning stage, perpetually delayed, with no credible route to commercial scale.

Australia’s H2X Global, designing its own hydrogen vehicle specifically for fleet usage, including taxis, faces identical structural and economic challenges, with no realistic prospect of profitability. Each of these initiatives, despite significant public funding and promotional attention, represents a fundamentally unworkable economic proposition, persistently unable to compete against simpler and economically superior battery-electric vehicles.

Central to understanding this consistent failure is hydrogen’s inherent complexity and high cost structure. Hydrogen fuel requires substantial investments in generation, purification, compression, transport, and storage infrastructure. Even after years of subsidies, hydrogen prices remain stubbornly high, and reliable volumes of green hydrogen never appear. In contrast, battery-electric technology has consistently decreased in cost, improved in range, and scaled dramatically. Unlike hydrogen infrastructure, battery charging infrastructure is straightforward, increasingly ubiquitous, and significantly less expensive to deploy and maintain. These fundamental economic and technical realities mean that whenever hydrogen taxis lose subsidies, their costs immediately spike, rendering them uncompetitive overnight.

Hype’s transition away from hydrogen toward battery-electric vehicles is therefore not an innovation or a strategic pivot, but rather an overdue acknowledgment of economic reality. Battery-electric vehicles have always represented the economically viable pathway for transportation decarbonization, something consistently demonstrated across global markets and across vehicle types. By contrast, hydrogen taxis, buses, trucks, and even planes have struggled with consistent and universal financial shortfalls. When government and grant funding runs out, hydrogen projects inevitably stall, shrink, or collapse entirely.

Hydrogen for transportation deathwatch pivot table by author
Hydrogen for transportation deathwatch pivot table by author

This phenomenon is starkly evident in my ongoing hydrogen transportation deathwatch tracking list, which now prominently includes Hype alongside other failed or faltering initiatives. This deathwatch table consistently highlights a persistent pattern of companies initially buoyed by heavy subsidies and optimistic forecasts, only to collapse when external support inevitably runs dry. Hydrogen’s challenges are neither temporary nor isolated; they reflect structural realities of cost, infrastructure complexity, and market maturity that subsidies alone cannot overcome.

Policymakers and investors who continue to champion hydrogen in transportation would do well to pay close attention to this example. Hype’s abandonment of hydrogen underscores the clear economic lesson that subsidy-dependent hydrogen projects will always eventually fail. The pivot to battery-electric vehicles is not merely preferable; it is economically unavoidable. Future transportation policy must reflect this hard reality rather than repeating past mistakes with hydrogen-based illusions.


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Michael Barnard

is a climate futurist, strategist and author. He spends his time projecting scenarios for decarbonization 40-80 years into the future. He assists multi-billion dollar investment funds and firms, executives, Boards and startups to pick wisely today. He is founder and Chief Strategist of TFIE Strategy Inc and a member of the Advisory Board of electric aviation startup FLIMAX. He hosts the Redefining Energy - Tech podcast (https://shorturl.at/tuEF5) , a part of the award-winning Redefining Energy team. Most recently he contributed to "Proven Climate Solutions: Leading Voices on How to Accelerate Change" (https://www.amazon.com/Proven-Climate-Solutions-Leading-Accelerate-ebook/dp/B0D2T8Z3MW) along with Mark Z. Jacobson, Mary D. Nichols, Dr. Robert W. Howarth and Dr. Audrey Lee among others.

Michael Barnard has 1043 posts and counting. See all posts by Michael Barnard