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Published on November 18th, 2013 | by Nicholas Brown

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China Forecast To Install Even More Solar Than Previously Thought



The amount of solar power forecast to be installed in China in 2014 was recently increased to 12 GW, according to a report released by the Chinese Bureau of Energy on November 14, 2013.

This includes 8 GW of distributed photovoltaic solar systems and 4 GW of ground-mount systems. While both distributed solar and ground-mount solar systems have their drawbacks, both of them hold important places in the energy industry. Ground-mount systems take up ground space, but they save the day in cases where rooftops lack space. This is especially important to commercial buildings.

Roof-mounted systems don’t require extra expenditures for the land, and the roof space they occupy likely wasn’t needed for anything else.

The Jiangsu Province will have the best solar PV market share, according the the new report, with 1.3 GW of quotas within the pipeline. The Shandong Province will follow, at 1.2 GW, and the Zhejiang Province will come in third, at 1.1 GW. As for the rest of the leading provinces, here’s a pie chart:

Ground-mount systems will likely continue to dominate the Chinese PV market during 2014, but the Bureau of Energy stated that the allocation to the ground-mount segment may be adjusted, depending on the progress of photovoltaic installations in 2014. Despite the dominance of ground-mount systems, distributed applications will increase.

From Steven Han on Analyst Blog:

“According to our research, the increase in solar PV demand from China is now driving the total Asia Pacific (APAC) baseline forecast to 24 GW for 2014, with an upside as high as 32 GW. The increase from the APAC region is a major contributor to our upgrade of global forecasts for 2014 to the 45-55 GW level. Similar to 2013, China is again forecast to be the largest country for solar PV demand next year.”

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About the Author

writes on CleanTechnica, Gas2, Kleef&Co, and Green Building Elements. He has a keen interest in physics-intensive topics such as electricity generation, refrigeration and air conditioning technology, energy storage, and geography. His website is: Kompulsa.com.



  • Wayne Williamson

    interesting…I think that they are just making use of the capacity they have built.

  • JamesWimberley

    Map of Chinese provinces : http://www.sacu.org/provmap.html
    Basically, the target regions for distributed solar are the densely populated coastal ones – not land-rich but remote Inner Mongolia, an easy place to build utility plants but a hard one to get them connected to the grid.

    Shifting the priority to distributed, as the Chinese government has done, makes the outcomes more uncertain. They are much more dependent now on private initiative as the motor of change and local bureaucrats and distribution utilities as the major constraint on it.

    • Wayne Williamson

      Oh, I meant to mention thanks for the province map…

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