Nikhil’s Take
Nikhil provided some extra commentary on the matter for CleanTechnica. It is below (with some editing).
First, to clarify, Tesla Club India is an online community that is not officially tied to Tesla in any way.
Since my last open letter to Elon in January, many things have changed in favor of EVs. Sadly, import duties aren’t one of them.
- The government of India has decreased GST on EVs to 5% from 12%.
- GST on EV chargers has been reduced to 5% from 18%.
- Tax benefits up to 1.5 lakh a year, max up to 2.5 lakh in total, on the interest of loans taken for EVs.
- The State Bank of India reduced the Green Car loan interest rate by 20 basis point.
- A few states have removed the road tax on EVs (which can go as high as 20% depending on state and vehicle). Hopefully, all states will do it. More states will soon release their EV policies.
- The government is securing lithium supply. Also, the government of India will soon be taking bids on a battery factory with a total of 40 GWh of production capacity. There was a reportby LiveMint that Tesla has shown interest in this. I don’t know if it’s true, but would recommend Tesla to take part in it. There would be incentives by the government to establish that factory.
- The FDI rule of 30% local sourcing is now relaxed. Also, single-brand retailers can sell online before setting up brick and mortar stores.
Now, there is a question of demand. The Indian luxury car market is near 60,000 vehicles per year, which isn’t much compared to North America, China, or Europe. So, importing as CBU isn’t going to do any good — as Elon stated, it would make the Tesla Model 3 unaffordable. What might help is a small assembly plant.
The Tamil Nadu Chief Minister has invited Tesla, so maybe Tesla should get talking to prop up a small assembly plant. Nitin Gadkari, Minister for Road Transport & Highways of India and Shipping Ministry of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises in the Government of India, earlier said (in 2017) that he offered free land and incentives for a factory. So, now, Tesla should definitely get in talks with the government.
Import of electrically operated vehicles as knocked down kits with disassembled battery packs, motors, motor controllers, chargers, power control units, energy monitor contractors, brake systems, and electric compressors not mounted on chassis will attract a 10% duty, while those with pre-assembled battery packs, motors, motor controllers, chargers, power control units, energy monitor contractors, brake systems, and electric compressors not mounted on a chassis or a body assembly will attract a 15% duty. That may make all the difference between a Tesla being an aspirational buy for the Indian upper middle class to something only a few millionaires can afford. A locally assembled Model 3 base variant will be around 25–30 lakh if assembled as a CKD vs 50+ lakh if imported as a CBU.
I don’t see the Indian government reducing import duties anytime soon, as it is encouragingthe Made-in-India initiative unless some magic happens. However, according to an article recently published in the New Indian Express, India may offer import duty cuts to the US on high-end automobiles. The Prime Minister will be visiting the US next week and could discuss this.
Recently, the government gave a breather to gas/diesel vehicle companies amid a slowdown in the auto sector by not having any official deadline for EVs (which was 100% EV sale by 2030, then reduced to 30% EV sale by 2030). But the government still recognizes the need for cleaner vehicles, and steps are being taken by the central government as well as state governments. Public electric vehicle charging infrastructure is emerging slowly. The government also plans to have a number of highways as an electric corridor by March 2020.
Current offerings by Tesla can’t be mass market in India. However, Model 3 Standard Range/Standard Range+ vehicles and the Model Y Standard Range/Standard Range+ can grab significant market here if assembled or produced locally. India is cost-conscious. People look at the value proposition (i.e., what will be the cost of ownership), and the craze for Tesla is already high in youngsters (like me). Hopefully, Tesla will be introducing a $20,000–25,000 model in the next few years, as Elon mentioned earlier inan interview given to MKBHD, the famous YouTube tech reviewer.
Solar as mentioned above is a booming sector. Energy storage is increasing also. Tesla should start solar in India, and should provide a Powerwall of a 5–6 kWh size, which would be ideal for Indian requirements.
Arun is eagerly waiting for his Model 3. And I too aim to have a Tesla one day.
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