gas car bans

London Launching A 100% Zero-Emissions Street

When we examine the electric vehicle market and forecast electric vehicle growth, we often think of automaker plans, battery investments, how many models they’re rolling out, etc. What we don’t often consider is how strong city and country policies are going to get to push people to go electric. Several countries have announced plans for gas car bans, and some cities have done the same. Such policies can accelerate EV sales growth perhaps more than anything else.

Many In Germany Still In A Diesel-Fueled Daze, In Denial About EV Transition

The German auto industry has been through quite a scandal surrounding dieselgate. But that’s not stopping some from clinging to diesel. The Verge reports, “Germany is divided about the future of its most important industry: while some automakers pursue electric vehicles, a noisy group of diesel-energy enthusiasts are expressing their frustration through protests. These have gone on every weekend so far this year.”

China Plans To Ban Fossil Fuel Vehicles

China’s vice minister of industry and information technology, Xin Guobin, has announced that the Chinese government is currently working on a timeline to end both the production and sales of fossil fuel vehicles. The bold move comes as the government struggles to respond to public outcry in major Chinese cities struggling with crippling air pollution.

2040 & 2050 Pollution Car Bans Not So Bold

Several countries have now announced or considered plans to ban gas- and diesel-powered cars by a certain year. These eventual bans are certainly welcome and helpful from a messaging and persuasion standpoint, but if you look at the expected exponential growth curve of electric car adoption, banning polluting cars in 2040 or 2050 doesn’t actually look like a very bold move. More or less, it looks like that will happen anyway from simple market forces.