The China-based auto and battery manufacturer BYD is expecting that China’s shift to so-called “new energy vehicles” — battery electric vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, etc. — will be completed by the year 2030, according to recent reports.
In other words, BYD is expecting it to take just over a decade more for the country to back out of pure internal combustion engine (ICE) reliance — which, for those unfamiliar with the “ICE” term, means petrol/gas and diesel vehicles. Interestingly, this is the same timescale CleanTechnica Director Zach Shahan just projected … well, sort of.
These comments — that all vehicles in China will be “electrified” by 2030 — were made by BYD Chairman Wang Chuanfu at a recent event in Shenzhen. I put “electrified” in quotes there, however, because these “new energy vehicles” are not just fully electrics vehicles (EVs), but also mild hybrids and possibly plug-in hybrids (PHEVs). So, it is not a complete transition away from ICE vehicles, but one that could still manage to put a damper on further emissions growth within the populous country.
“We are very confident about all the timetables (to eliminate fossil fuel cars) and we think it will happen earlier than expected,” the BYD Chairman noted. “Various governments have announced timetables to end the sale of fossil fuel cars and this is putting pressure on everyone else.”
Reuters provides more: “Earlier this month, a senior Chinese official said the country had begun studying when to ban the production and sale of cars using traditional fuels, without giving a timeframe for the shift. The United Kingdom and France have said they will ban new petrol and diesel cars from 2040.
“China has set goals for electric and plug-in hybrid cars to make up at least a fifth of its auto sales by 2025 in a bid to combat air pollution and close a competitive gap between its newer domestic automakers and their global rivals.”
Notably, the BYD Chairman also stated that construction of the company’s skyrail transport systems would begin in 20 different Chinese cities next year.
As far as the aim to transition away from ICE vehicles, it should be remembered here that foreign auto manufacturers — in particular German ones and reportedly American ones — have been in recent months lobbying the government of China to weaken its “impossible” targets for electric vehicles. “Impossible” in this case seemingly refers to the reality that profits would have to be reduced to achieve the goals … rather than actual impossibility.