US To Deploy 77.3 GW Of Distributed Renewables In Next Decade, Navigant Forecasts

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The United States is expected to deploy 77.3 GW worth of distributed renewables over the next decade, according to new figures from Navigant Research.

According to the new report, US Distributed Renewables Deployment Forecast, published earlier this month, improvements in the country’s regulatory policies and additional technology cost reductions have combined to accelerate the deployment of distributed renewables across the US. As a result, Navigant Research predicts that the US will deploy 77.3 GW of distributed renewables between 2016 and 2025.

“The deployment of distributed renewables in the US is heavily concentrated in a few states, and the top 10 markets are expected to deploy 89% of new capacity,” said Roberto Rodriguez Labastida, senior research analyst with Navigant Research. “As distributed renewables continue to evolve from their identity as fringe generation resources to become the workhorse of the power sector, it is important that all electricity sector stakeholders execute a new strategy around renewables in order to remain relevant.”

Annual Distributed Renewables Revenue by Technology, United States: 2016-2025


“Despite the collapse of the installed cost of renewables technologies, the deployment of distributed renewables is still significantly affected by federal, state, and local policies,” the authors of the report noted. Navigant believes policies like tax credits and renewables mandates will be phased out during the next few years, while policies like net metering may be modified “to ensure they reflect the true value of distributed renewables within the energy system.”

As can be seen above, the substantial majority of expected distributed renewables to be deployed over the next decade is solar PV, with 75.8 GW of the total, almost evenly split between residential and commercial customers (49%/51% respectively). Distributed wind is expected to only add 0.9 GW, and biogas just 0.5 GW.

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Joshua S Hill

I'm a Christian, a nerd, a geek, and I believe that we're pretty quickly directing planet-Earth into hell in a handbasket! I also write for Fantasy Book Review (, and can be found writing articles for a variety of other sites. Check me out at for more.

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