Originally posted at ilsr.org
On Friday, the nation’s first clean energy partnership between a city and its utilities released its first two-year work plan. It holds true to the notion that the city and utilities can work across a broad swath of energy initiatives in pursuit of increasing energy efficiency and renewable energy.
It’s also severely lacking in quantitative goals that would allow the community to hold the city and utilities accountable.
For background, the Minneapolis city-utility partnership sprang out of grassroots demand for more local energy decision making and was ratified in a signing in October 2014. Late last fall, I wrote about the potential for this partnership, raising three key questions:
- Could it devise a plan that is innovative and ambitious and measurable and achievable within a short time frame?
- Could it set real benchmarks for achieving these plan items?
- Could it inform the national conversation about the structure of the utility business model in the 21st century?
The Approved Plan
The approved Clean Energy Partnership Work Plan has five ambitious areas of work under the umbrella goals of increasing energy efficiency, renewable energy, and city-utility collaboration (“advancing equity and other environmental benefits” is a sort of sidebar on the list of goals). The Partnership board identified three overarching strategies—engagement, data, and policy—to be applied to four places Minneapolitans live and work: 1-4 unit residential, multi-family residential, small commercial, and large commercial. The final plan area, “city enterprise,” focuses on what the city can itself do.
- Reduce citywide greenhouse gas emissions 15 percent by 2015, and 30 percent by 2025 using 2006 as a baseline
- Electricity supply is almost carbon emission free in 2040
- Reduce energy use by 17% by 2025 (by increasing efficiency of commercial and residential efficiency by 20 and 15%, respectively)
- Generate 10% of electricity from local, renewable sources
- Help 75% of homeowners and 75% renters and rental property owners participate in energy efficiency retrofits by 2025
In other words, the work plan lends itself to a big question: where are the numbers?
This is particularly problematic with implementing the strategies to reach the goals. With the goals as they are, a (pathetic) 0.1% increase in renewable energy could count as a win. Anyone who’s been in the room for the Partnership meetings knows that no party intends to perform so poorly, but with no real number, there’s no way to gauge success.
Where are the Numbers?
This concern about quantitative goals is reflected in the metrics approved for measuring program success. The metrics are broken down into various buckets of existing programs, such as the city’s greenhouse gas emissions tracking, and the utilities’ energy efficiency programs. It’s not clear if there will be aggregated data on all Partnership related efforts. Without such data, it will be hard to evaluate if the existing programs run by utilities are being integrated well enough into the Partnership.
There are also some big holes in the data. The proposed metrics reflect important elements like participant counts by geography, installations, and energy conserved. None of the measures of program success include race or socioeconomic status, despite a lot of language about “equity,” “underrepresented,” or the mayor’s signature One Minneapolis effort. There’s no plan to track employment or energy dollars kept local, though both are part of the city’s energy vision. There’s no mention of Wards, even though that’s the most meaningful political subdivision of the city.
Without meaningful, quantitative targets (and a commitment to measuring progress), there is no way for the city to evaluate if the Partnership is a success or not.
Things to Watch
Despite the big, significant problems with data, it’s worth diving into some of the specific work plan items.
The promise in the Partnership is being able to leverage local city authority and credibility to more effectively direct utility energy efficiency and renewable energy programs. The following items are going to be key to the success of the Partnership, but lack detail in the work plan:
- Will community engagement be authentic and substantive? Will it engage organizations like neighborhood groups, low-income advocates, and others that have traditionally been on the periphery? Are these potential partners seen as essential or just “nice to have”? Otherwise, it will be hard to move beyond incremental change among a population that skews wealthy and white. And if we aren’t tracking race of participants, how do we know if we’re reaching a population that mirrors the city’s population?
- Can the city approve an energy transparency law to inform renters and home buyers at point of sale? Minneapolis was one of the first cities to require commercial building energy disclosure and its leadership here could be a tremendous boon to tenants for whom energy expenses of a new home are otherwise a mystery until they receive their first bill.
- Can the city afford to wait on its utilities for on-bill repayment options? Though no panacea, on-bill repayment is the linchpin to letting residents and businesses—especially those with low credit scores—earn more in energy savings on a monthly basis than they pay for any improvements. Xcel Energy made no commitment to on-bill repayment, and it will be a year before CenterPoint files at the Public Utilities Commission for program approval. Why can’t the city use it’s own utility bill—for water—to offer on-bill repayment in 2016?
- Will data access on energy use be equitable? The proposal is to ensure building managers and owners have access to data on building energy use, but what about existing and prospective tenants?
- The small business program has no real program other than observing the utility’s existing “Partners in Energy” program. Where’s the engagement opportunity?
- The “natural gas city fleet” item is missing the crucial integration with the citywide organics collection and the opportunity to use locally collected and produced biogas for fueling the city fleet. That’s a can’t-miss opportunity to combine lower vehicle emissions with economic development and waste reduction.
The Partnership Board will shift into implementation over the next few months, and the timelines are shown in the following graphic.
Most of the rest of 2015 is given over to “developing” and planning the implementation, hopefully offering an opportunity for the community advisory committee to address a few of the holes (read: NUMBERS) in the approved plan.
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