Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

CleanTechnica

Carbon Pricing

European Carbon Price Set To Rise To €23/t Between 2021 And 2030

A new report from information firm Thomson Reuters predicts the European carbon price is expected to rise over the next decade, increasing to an average of €23 per tonne between 2021 and 2030.

The report, which analysed European energy and climate policy, concludes that stricter regulations imposed as a result of reforming the European Emissions Trading System (ETS) will bump the carbon price higher, or face a lacklustre policy towards the region’s climate goals.

“The single most important factor for the future carbon price is the European Commission’s proposal to reform the current carbon market,” Thomson Reuters concluded. The Market Stability Reserve reform proposed in January would manage the supply of permits “depending on changes in demand”, a process that would make carbon prices more stable.

Without such reforms, however, Thomson Reuters predict that the carbon price will only average €14 per tonne in the 2021-2030 period.

europen carbon 1

Emissions covered by the European carbon market
Image Credit: Thomson Reuters

Europe’s current carbon price stands at a measly €6 a tonne, serving to encourage only small emission reductions across the region. Thomson Reuters, however, believes that this is likely to change as the European Union steps up attempts to reform its climate policy through and well after the 2020 deadline for current policies.

Our forecast suggests that rising carbon prices will improve the ability of gas to compete with coal and incentivize emission reductions among European manufacturers.

Thomson Reuters’ predictions assume that the European Union adopts a 40% emission reduction target, a 27% renewable energy target, and a 30% energy efficiency target for 2030, along with the Market Stability Reserve proposal already put before the European Commission.

european carbon 2

Effect of each proposed policy on EU carbon market emissions compared to current policy mix.
Image Credit: Thomson Reuters

Such targets will push the carbon price higher, triggering emission reductions of approximately 1.7 billion tonnes of CO2 from now up until 2030. Without the Market Stability Reserve, however, Thomson Reuters predict the emissions reduction will struggle to reach half that with the proposal in effect.

 
 
 
Appreciate CleanTechnica’s originality and cleantech news coverage? Consider becoming a CleanTechnica Member, Supporter, Technician, or Ambassador — or a patron on Patreon.
 

Don't want to miss a cleantech story? Sign up for daily news updates from CleanTechnica on email. Or follow us on Google News!
 

Have a tip for CleanTechnica, want to advertise, or want to suggest a guest for our CleanTech Talk podcast? Contact us here.
Advertisement
 
Written By

I'm a Christian, a nerd, a geek, and I believe that we're pretty quickly directing planet-Earth into hell in a handbasket! I also write for Fantasy Book Review (.co.uk), and can be found writing articles for a variety of other sites. Check me out at about.me for more.

Comments

You May Also Like

Clean Power

Follow the money: the green hydrogen revolution is spreading into Africa, with Egypt and Kenya taking the lead.

Clean Transport

Cheaper tolls for cleaner trucks will help decarbonise the sector

Batteries

By Massimiliano Saltori, European Science Communication Institute There are ambitious plans for the future of sustainable mobility in the European Union. On June 8th,...

Fossil Fuels

European MEPs from the far right, and the majority of the EPP today voted in favor of the EU Commission’s proposal to inexplicably label...

Copyright © 2022 CleanTechnica. The content produced by this site is for entertainment purposes only. Opinions and comments published on this site may not be sanctioned by and do not necessarily represent the views of CleanTechnica, its owners, sponsors, affiliates, or subsidiaries.