Comments on: In Which Year Will An EV 1st Break Into The Top 10 Of Global Auto Sales? (Poll)

By: Bob_Wallace

Bob_Wallace — Tue, 30 Jul 2013 04:40:00 +0000

You don’t need that much range. 300km/180 miles will be plenty.

Few people drive 300km a single day very often.

On the few days they drive all day long (800km/500 miles) they will be able to do that with two <20 minute stops during which they can eat, pee, walk the dog, shop, check their messages, nap. That extra stop won't be bothersome.

It is more likely that a major car manufacturer will get there first. They have the capacity and capital to go big quickly. But if a new/smaller manufacturer locks in exclusive use of a superior battery then the little dog wins.

By: Robert Levesque

Robert Levesque — Tue, 30 Jul 2013 01:42:00 +0000

You need a ford focus, mazda 3 or honda civic ev with 500km range to make the top 10…

By: Bob_Wallace

Bob_Wallace — Mon, 29 Jul 2013 23:40:00 +0000

Six more years. I’d stick a “probably” in that last sentence were it mine.

Hypothetical: GM announces that the Envira battery is a total success and later this year releases the 2014 Spark EV with a 180 mile range and a $23,000 price tag.

650,000 per year by 2019? Probably would happen.

By: t33po

t33po — Mon, 29 Jul 2013 22:44:00 +0000

The Golf is number 10 and last year 650,000 units were sold. Renault-Nissan has just recently broken 100,000 unit sales all-time. The best-selling Leaf has yet to break 50,000 total global sales There is still a long way to go before any one model even sniffs the top ten. There is still a ways to go until the combined sales of all electrics come close to the number 10 spot. It will come but it won’t be in the 2010’s.